Morning Read: Let's look at some pitchers who have been hot and if we should be buying in. All stats are from the last month.
Wily Peralta: 0.34 ERA and 0.79 WHIP.
- Comes with a .171 BABIP and 97.1 LOB%
- His 0.34 HR/9 isn't sustainable
- A 9.3 K-BB% ain't it.
Kwang-hyun Kim: 1.67 ERA and 1.05 WHIP
- Comes with a .240 BABIP and 86.3 LOB%, although both due for regression this isn't too crazy.
- 5.11 xFIP/5.22 SIERA for the month
- A 6.3 K-BB% ain't it either
Chris Flexen: 1.71 ERA and 1.01 WHIP
- Comes with a .239 BABIP and 89.0 LOB%
- 3.42 FIP, 4.79 xFIP, 4.83 SIERA
- 0.57 HR/9 w/ 5.1 HR/FB% likely isn't sustainable
- Flexen has solid control and of course he isn't this good but a sub-four ERA for the rest of the season could happen.
Kyle Freeland: 2.25 ERA and 1.07 WHIP
- 2.78 FIP and .282 BABIP work
- 0.32 HR/9 won't stick for a Coors pitcher
- 15.3 K-BB% is good
- Freeland could be a sneaky add
Cole Irvin: 2.25 ERA and 0.97 WHIP
- 3.05 FIP/.267 BABIP/72.3 LOB%/4.24 SIERA all work
- Has a fantastic fastball
- 19.7 K% is useful
- I'd be buying or holding
Today's Streamer: Time and time again I have talked about how good Dunning's breaking balls are. I know he hasn't put it all together yet but that doesn't mean he can't. I'm hoping to see a second-half surge here as his year-to-date SIERA is 3.83. He has the skill set, it's just a matter of him getting it done. Facing the Tigers he should accumulate strikeouts so even if he doesn't have a great game at least you'll get that.
Shallow League Option: Rolling with two big guns in Tarik Skubal and Shane McClanahan. The Tigers said they will limit their young pitchers so let's see how deep Skubal goes into this game. McClanahan is a no-brainer at home against the Orioles, an offense that struggles against left-handed pitching.
Deep League Option: Dane Dunning.
Looking For Strikeouts: Dane Dunning, Shane McClanahan, Tarik Skubal, and Kyle Muller.