Outside Of The Box: Mike Minor

Outside the box is a daily article that is simple, fresh, and innovative. Here, we will be walking throw away pitchers to the pedestal for a quick examination of their skills.


On The Pedestal: Mike Minor


Current ADP: 306


Brief Examination: Mike Minor had a 2020 season to forget as he finished with a 5.56 ERA in 11 starts. After a great 2019 campaign, it’s hard to tell which Mike Minor we could see. The main difference in his profile is the increase in home runs. Last season he has a 1.75 HR/9, the highest of his entire career. The main culprit for that increase is his slider and changeup, both of which increased in Barrel% and Blast%.


What’s interesting here is that the slider and changeup both haven’t lost their movement in any kind of way. What did change was the command.


He typically throws the slider outside of the zone to get chases but last year it was left in the zone 3% more than 2019. The good thing is it was placed towards the edge consistently so while the command wasn’t the same he wasn’t missing over the plate. Taking that into consideration with expected stats calling for improvement, I think this pitch is better in 2021.


The changeup was still relatively effective but his command was definitely a problem. In 2019 Minor loved the north-south approach and you can tell by his heat maps that he was trying to do the same thing but kept leaving it over the plate in the middle. This is the key to him getting back on track.


Interesting Stat: Every odd year Mike Minor has a good season. 2013: 3.21 ERA - 2017: 2.55 ERA, 2019: 3.59 ERA - 2021: ?


Role: In a season where young pitchers will struggle to get innings Minor is a fantastic option at his ADP. He signed with the Royals who have a young pitching staff and they will rely on him to grab a lot of innings. They let Brad Keller go deep into games and they should do the same with Minor. Target him as a back end SP for your rotation.

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